⊙记者 张雪 ○编辑 朱绍勇
根据WIND数据统计,12月份两市共有104公司的342亿股的限售股流通,按最新收盘价计算,解禁市值约为3496亿元。尽管较11月134亿股的解禁数量环比增加七成,但仍处于年内较低水平,2009年平均每月的解禁规模为590亿股。
从12月份解禁的限售股类型看,首发限售股再次成为解禁主力。当月,首发限售股解禁规模约96.4亿股,其中首发原股东即“大小限”持有的限售股数量高达83.3亿股,首发机构配售限售股为13.0亿元。而“大小非”持有的股改限售股解禁数量仅为38.1亿股。在即将解禁的首发限售股公司中,不乏大盘蓝筹股的身影,大唐发电(9.23,0.00,0.00%)的解禁规模位居本月之最,首发原股东和首发战略配售限售股份合计40.52亿股,将于12月21日解禁;广深铁路(4.87,0.00,0.00%)、招商轮船(5.51,0.00,0.00%)、上海电气(10.00,0.00,0.00%)的首发限售股解禁规模均超过15亿股。
值得注意的是,参与今年9月份12只新股网下打新的机构投资者,手中持有的首发机构配售股通通于本月解禁。其中12月26日解禁的中国中冶(5.94,0.00,0.00%)首发机构限售股规模最大,为12.34亿股,市值超过70亿元。其余11家上市公司分别为星期六(23.75,0.00,0.00%)、奥飞动漫(44.91,0.00,0.00%)、精艺股份(21.54,0.00,0.00%)、罗莱家纺(40.77,0.00,0.00%)、信立泰(96.30,0.00,0.00%)、鑫龙电器(19.89,0.00,0.00%)、博云新材(32.00,0.00,0.00%)、超华科技(26.60,0.00,0.00%)、禾盛新材(45.86,0.00,0.00%)、宇顺电子(29.60,0.00,0.00%)和辉煌科技(56.00,0.00,0.00%)。
此外,上海汽车(23.72,0.00,0.00%)、海马股份(6.10,0.00,0.00%)、长力股份(9.09,0.00,0.00%)、万通地产(11.60,0.00,0.00%)、招商地产(30.41,0.00,0.00%)、海油工程(11.51,0.00,0.00%)、万科A(11.91,0.00,0.00%)等增发机构配售股也均于年底解禁。
针对2009年最后一个月的减持压力,业内人士认为与IPO和再融资相比,12月份的限售股对二级市场几乎没有冲击。但是,一旦市场的上涨趋势改变,成本低廉的大小非往往成为最大的助跌力量。此外,投资者要特别注意个股的减持压力,比如,属于首发机构限售股类型的次新股,就将面临较大抛压,尤其注意中国中冶这样解禁规模较大,距发行价幅度不足10%的品种。